Exit polls conducted on Thursday predict a significant victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly election.
According to the News24-Today’s Chanakya and India Today-My Axis exit polls, the BJP is anticipated to secure a clear majority in the state. Today’s Chanakya survey suggests the BJP could win a substantial 151 seats, while Congress is expected to secure 74 seats. The India Today-My Axis poll also foresees a strong performance for the BJP with 140–162 seats in Madhya Pradesh.
Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll survey, on the other hand, expects a majority for Congress with 105–120 seats. The BJP, according to this poll, may secure around 95 to 115 seats in the 230-member assembly.
The Republic TV-Matrize predicts 118–130 seats for the BJP and 97–107 seats for Congress.
Voting for the 230-member Madhya Pradesh assembly occurred in a single phase on November 17, with a voter turnout of 77.15 percent. The counting of votes is scheduled for December 3.
Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after people have voted, helping assess support for political parties and candidates. While these polls are highly anticipated and may provide an indicator of the state’s direction, they have been proven wrong on several occasions, notably in the 2004 Lok Sabha Elections and the 2017 UP Elections.
In the current election, the incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party and the opposition Congress are engaged in a direct competition. In 2018, Congress achieved a significant victory, but Jyotiraditya Scindia’s defection to the BJP led to the downfall of the Kamal Nath-led Congress government and the return of Shivraj Singh Chouhan as Chief Minister for the fourth time.